Group C Scenarios

For your reference, here are the Group C scenarios heading into the final match day:

The United States will advance if:

1) They beat Algeria.

2) They tie with Algeria and England loses.

3) They tie with Algeria and England ties with Slovenia, with England outscoring the US by no more than 1 goal.*

*In the event that both games end in a draw and England outscores the US by exactly 2 goals, the US and England will be even on all tiebreakers, leading to a drawing of lots to see who moves on.  If both games end in a tie and England outscores the US by 3 goals or more, the US will be eliminated because of a lower goals for total.  

So, it's simple enough; we control our own destiny.  Win, and we're in.  Lose, and we go home early.  Tie, and things are out of our hands.

Here's how things stand for the other teams:

Slovenia will advance if: 

1) They win or draw against England.

2) They lose to England, but USA and Algeria draw.

3) They lose to England by 1 goal, Algeria defeats the US by 1 goal, and Algeria outscore Slovenia by no more than 3 goals.

Algeria will advance if: 

1) They beat the US and Slovenia wins or draws against England.

2) They beat the US and England beat Slovenia, with their winning margin being greater than 1 and/or Slovenia's losing margin being greater than 1.

3) They beat the US by 1 goal, England beat Slovenia by 1 goal, and Algeria outscore Slovenia by 4 or more goals on the final match day.

England will advance if:

1) They beat Slovenia.

2) They draw with Slovenia, the US draws with Algeria, and England outscore the US by 3 or more goals on the final match day.

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Feel free to correct me if I made a mistake anywhere in there; there are certainly plenty of opportunities to do so with all those possibilities.