It seems like only yesterday that Bob Bradley was announced as the new USMNT head coach, with a chorus of moans and groans rising up from many Klinsmann-obsessed American fans. Now, the cycle is over, for the US at least, and the big question is who will be at the helm when the next cycle gets underway in earnest.
Before we really delve into that, though, let's just take a look back on the cycle that was under Bob Bradley. I've made it no secret that I think Bradley is a capable coach, though I think I fairly acknowledge his shortcomings and mistakes. With that being said, how you decide if Bob Bradley had a successful four years as the US head coach really depends on what you deem important. For some, it's the World Cup, end of story. For me, all the competitions are important to varying degrees. I won't say which perspective is right or if another is wrong; how you view competitions as a fan is your own prerogative. I'll just present all of the information and let you make your own conclusions:
2007 Gold Cup: Champions
Record: 6-0-0, GD +10
2007 Copa America: Group Stage
Record: 0-0-3, GD -6
2008 CONCACAF Qualifiers Round 2 and 3: Group Winners
Record: 7-0-1, GD +20
2009 CONCACAF Hexagonal Qualifers: Group Winners
Record: 6-2-2, GD +6
2009 Confederations Cup: Finalists
Record: 2-0-3, GD -1
2009 Gold Cup: Finalists
Record: 4-1-1, GD +4
2010 FIFA World Cup: Group C Winners, Round of 16
Record: 1-2-1, GD 0
I didn't include friendlies because it's hard to use that as a standard considering the roster variability and experimentation that accompanies such matches, but it's worth mentioning that the US played some tough opponents, such as Brazil, Argentina, England, Spain, Mexico, and the Netherlands.
So there it is, Bob's cycle in a nutshell.
There's the good: the first place finish in the Hex, the run to the Confederations Cup final that included a great win over Egypt, a stunning upset of Spain, and an unbelievable half against Brazil, the finish atop Group C (the first time that the US had won their World Cup group since 1930), a flawless run to the 2007 Gold Cup title, and the integration of several young, promising players into the senior team (like Jozy, Charlie Davies, and Michael Bradley, to name a few).
Then there's the bad: A debacle of a loss in Costa Rica, a second half collapse against Brazil in the Confederations Cup final, repeated slow starts in qualifiers and World Cup matches, and a botched lineup that played a significant part in the US' loss to Ghana.
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I'll let all of you draw your own conclusions as to how successful Bob was over the last four years. For me, however you twist the numbers and results, this was still one of our most successful cycles ever (it could even be argued that it was the most successful, but I'll leave that for now). Though many would surely let out the same moans and groans we heard four years ago if Bob were retained, the US could do a lot worse than having someone with that track record at the helm.* Though a change in regime might be a refreshing change of pace, I wouldn't be upset if Bradley was kept on board.
*Sure, many would also say that coaching for 8 years just doesn't end well, citing Bruce Arena's lackluster 2006 World Cup as evidence. I've said it before and I'll say it again, I don't like making that kind of judgment based on such a small sample space, and if you look back at the numbers, you'd be surprised at how the 2006 cycle as a whole actually stacks up to the 2002 cycle. But I digress...
With that being said, I feel like we came up short on the big stage, the one that matters most, and Sunil Gulati is in agreement. While some are reading between the lines of Gulati's quotes and taking them to mean that Bob is out, I really can't say one way or the other what I think Gulati will definitely do. For starters, there's the whole issue of if a bigger name (read: Jurgen Klinsmann) is out there to be had and more importantly wants to take the US job. There's also the issue of whether Bob would still be the best coach for the team when all of the available, interested candidates are considered. And after that, there's the issue of whether Bob would even want to stay on if given the opportunity; four years is a long time, and Bob might prefer to go back to the club level after his stint in the international game.
Though I do think Bob's US resume is impressive, I'm inclined to think that it isn't enough to keep him around. Expectations are rising quickly, and underachievement at the World Cup will not be overlooked. It's all well and good that the Yanks won Group C, but they missed out on a realistic chance to make it the semifinals and led for a grand total of 3 minutes in their four matches. It's a good thing that we expect so much now while still being fairly realistic; it's a sign of our progress that we can look at the successes of the last four years and still be disappointed. But it may also end up costing Bob Bradley a shot at another tour of duty.
If US Soccer does decide to move on, the big name that almost everyone will once again be hoping to land is Jurgen Klinsmann. There's no point dancing around it and suggesting other candidates for now; Gulati wanted Klinsmann four years ago, and it seems like Klinsmann is still interested. Would the former Bayern boss be the right man for the job? Only time would tell. But he managed to successfully breath new life and bring new players into the German squad and brought an attacking style that culminated in a third place World Cup finish. Not many coaches can boast a third place medal, fluency in English, and a personal familiarity with the United States and American soccer, so it does add up to a very impressive package.
At this point, I think I just want it to happen because I'm curious. Could Klinsmann go above and beyond would Bradley accomplished? Could he bring a level of flair and creativity to a team that has it's fair share of talented, emerging attackers but at times struggled at the offensive end? And could he take us deep into the World Cup? Needless to say, I'd be very eager to find out. But all of that would be moot if Gulati pursues Klinsmann (assuming he is in fact interested) but the two can't come to an agreement yet again.
Klinsmann's past success is very appealing, but could it just be a siren song that might ultimately be steering us in the wrong direction when it comes to a potential coaching search? After all, he only coached Germany for half of a cycle and didn't have to go through a continental tournament or qualification in that time. That does make me a little leery of hopping on the Klinsmann bandwagon, but I also have a really hard time believing that he was able to luck his way all the way to the podium. Still, I'm not completely sold on him; I can only imagine how Sunil Gulati is feeling with such an important decision ahead of him. All of this has ignored the fact that there likely will be other qualified enticing candidates on the market in addition to Klinsmann, further complicating the matter for US Soccer's brain trust.
Who knows how things will really shake out once the sting of the loss has died down and all things are considered and examined going forward. I don't expect things to be settled by the time the Brazil friendly rolls around (meaning Bob Bradley would still be the head coach since his contract runs until the end of the year), but it would be nice if we knew by then, one way or the other. Until then, however, just expect plenty of retrospection across the interwebs and even more speculation as the coaching crescendo builds.
Que sera', sera', I suppose.
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